Kubva pakatanga denda iri, indasitiri yekutengeserana neindasitiri yezvekufambisa yagara iri mumatambudziko. Makore maviri apfuura, zvinhu zvinotakura zvinhu mugungwa zvakakwira zvakanyanya, uye zvino zvinoita sekunge zvaderera pamutengo we "nguva dzose" wemakore maviri apfuura, asi musika unogona kudzokerawo pamutengo wenguva dzose here?
Data
Chinyorwa chazvino chezviyero zvina zvikuru zvekutakura macontainer pasi rose chakaramba chichidzikira zvakanyanya:
-Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) yakamira pamapoinzi 2562.12, pasi pemapoinzi 285.5 kubva svondo rapfuura, kudzikira kwevhiki nevhiki kwe10.0%, uye yadzikira kwemavhiki gumi nematatu akateedzana. Yadzikira ne43.9% zvichienzaniswa nenguva imwecheteyo gore rapfuura.
-Delury's World Container Freight Index (WCI) yadzikira kwemavhiki makumi maviri nemasere akateedzana, uye chinyorwa chazvino chadzikira ne5% kusvika kuUS$5,378.68 paFEU.
-Baltic Freight Index (FBX) Global Composite Index paUS$4,862/FEU, yakaderera ne8% pavhiki.
-Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) yeNingbo Shipping Exchange yakavharwa nemapoinzi 1,910.9, yakaderera ne11.6 muzana kubva svondo rapfuura.
Chinyorwa chechangobva kubuda cheSCFI (9.9) chakaramba chichiona kudzikira kwemitengo mikuru yekutumira zvinhu.
-Nzira dzekuNorth America: mashandiro emusika wekutakura zvinhu akatadza kuvandudzika, zvinhu zvakakosha pakugovera nekudiwa kwezvinhu hazvina kusimba, zvichikonzera kuti mitengo yekutakura zvinhu irambe ichidzikira mumusika.
-Mitengo yeUS West yakaderera kusvika pa3,484/FEU kubva pa$3,959 svondo rapfuura, kudzikira kwevhiki nevhiki kwe$475 kana kuti 12.0%, nemitengo yeUS West yakasvika padanho idzva rakaderera kubvira muna Nyamavhuvhu 2020.
-Mitengo yeUS East yakadzikira kusvika pa$7,767/FEU kubva pa$8,318 svondo rapfuura, ichidzika ne$551, kana kuti 6.6 muzana, pavhiki.
Zvikonzero
Munguva yedenda iri, nzira dzekutakura zvinhu dzakakanganiswa uye zvimwe zvinhu zvakamiswa mune dzimwe nyika, zvikaita kuti pave ne "holding wave" munyika dzakawanda, izvo zvakakonzera mitengo yakakwira zvisingawanzoitiki gore rapfuura.
Gore rino, kukwira kwemitengo yehupfumi hwenyika pamwe nekuderera kwezvinodiwa zvakaita kuti zvisakwanise kugaya masheya aimbove akachengetwa mumusika, zvichikonzera kuti vanotenga zvinhu muEurope neUnited States vaderedze kana kutodzima maodha ezvinhu, uye "kushomeka kwemaodha" kuri kupararira pasi rose.
Ding Chun, purofesa paInstitute of World Economics, School of Economics, Fudan University: "Kuderera uku kunonyanya kukonzerwa nekukwira kwemitengo muEurope neUnited States, zvichikonzerwa nekusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika, matambudziko emagetsi nezvirwere, izvo zvakakonzera kudzikira kukuru kwekudiwa kwekutakura zvinhu."
Kang Shuchun, CEO weChina International Shipping Network: "Kusawirirana pakati pekuwanikwa kwezvinhu nezvinodiwa kwakonzera kudzikira kwemitengo yekutumira zvinhu."
Mhedzisiro
Kumakambani ekutakura zvinhu:vari kusangana nekumanikidzwa "kwekukurukurazve" mitengo yezvibvumirano, uye vakati vakagamuchira zvikumbiro kubva kuvaridzi vezvinhu kuti vaderedze mitengo yezvibvumirano.
Kumakambani emuno:Xu Kai, mukuru wezvemashoko weShanghai International Shipping Research Center, akaudza Global Times kuti aidavira kuti mwero wekutakura zvinhu wakakwira zvisingawanzoitiki gore rapera waive usina kujairika, nepo kudonha kukuru kwegore rino kwaive kwakanyanya kujairika, uye kunofanira kunge kuri kupindurwa kwakanyanya kwemakambani ekutakura zvinhu nekuchinja kwemusika. Kuti varambe vaine mwero wekutakura zvinhu mumigwagwa, makambani ekutakura zvinhu ari kuedza kushandisa mwero wekutakura zvinhu senzira yekuwedzera kudiwa. Chinhu chikuru chekuderera kwekudiwa kwekutakura zvinhu mumusika kudzikira kwekudiwa kwekutengeserana, uye nzira yekushandisa kudzikiswa kwemitengo haizounzi kudiwa kutsva, asi ichaita kuti pave nemakwikwi akaipisisa uye kusagadzikana mumusika wegungwa.
Zvekutumira:Kuwanda kwengarava itsva dzakatangwa nemakambani makuru ekutakura zvinhu kwakawedzera musiyano uripo pakati pezvinhu zvinotengeswa nezvinodiwa. Kang Shuchun akati mwero wekutakura zvinhu wakakwira zvikuru gore rapfuura wakaita kuti makambani mazhinji ekutakura zvinhu awane mari yakawanda, uye mamwe makambani makuru ekutakura zvinhu akaisa purofiti yawo mukuvaka ngarava itsva, nepo denda risati raitika, huwandu hwengarava pasi rose hwaive hwakatokwira kupfuura huwandu. Wall Street Journal yakatora mashoko eBraemar, kambani inopa mazano nezvesimba nekutakura zvinhu, ichiti ngarava itsva dzichatanga kushandiswa mumakore maviri anotevera uye kuti huwandu hwengarava hunotarisirwa kukura ne9 muzana gore rinouya uye muna 2024, nepo huwandu hwengarava huchikura gore negore huchizoderera muna 2023, izvo zvichawedzera kusawirirana pakati pehuwandu hwenyika nehukuru.
Mhedziso
Chinhu chikuru chekudiwa kwekutakura zvinhu mumusika kuri kunonoka ndechekuderera kwekuda kwekutengeserana, kushandisa nzira yekudzikisa mitengo hakuzounzi kudiwa kutsva, asi kuchaita kuti pave nemakwikwi akaipisisa uye kukanganisa kurongeka kwemusika wegungwa.
Asi hondo dzemitengo hadzisi mhinduro inoenderera mberi chero nguva. Mitemo yekuchinja kwemitengo uye mitemo yekutevedzera mitemo yemusika hazvigone kubatsira makambani kuchengetedza budiriro yavo uye kuwana nzvimbo inogara iripo mumusika; nzira chete yakakosha yekutsungirira mumusika ndeyekutsvaga nzira dzekuchengetedza nekuvandudza mazinga ebasa uye kusimudzira kugona kwavo mubhizinesi.
Nguva yekutumira: Gunyana-22-2022
