Kubva pakaitika denda, indasitiri yezvokutengeserana uye indasitiri yezvekutakurwa zvagara zviri mumhirizhonga. Makore maviri apfuura, kutakura kwegungwa kwakakwira, uye ikozvino kunoratidzika kuwira mu "mutengo wakajairika" wemakore maviri apfuura, asi musika unogona kudzokera kune wakajairika here?
Data
Iyo yazvino vhezheni yema indices mana makuru epasirese ekutakura zvinhu zvakaramba zvichidzika zvakanyanya:
-The Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI) yakamira pa2562.12 points, pasi pe285.5. mapoinzi kubva svondo rapfuura, kudonha kwevhiki nevhiki kwe10.0%, uye yakawa kwemavhiki gumi nematatu akateedzana. Yakanga yakaderera ne43.9% kana ichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.
-Delury's World Container Freight Index (WCI) yakadonha kwemavhiki makumi maviri nemasere akateedzana, neiyo yazvino edition yakadzika 5% kusvika US $ 5,378.68 paFEU.
-The Baltic Freight Index (FBX) Global Composite Index paUS$4,862/FEU, yakaderera ne8% pavhiki.
-Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) yeNingbo Shipping Exchange yakavharwa pa 1,910.9 points, pasi pe11.6 muzana kubva vhiki yapfuura.
Nyaya yazvino yeSCFI (9.9) yakaramba ichiona kudzikira kwemitengo mikuru yekutakura.
-Nzira dzekuNorth America: kuita kwemusika wekutakura kwakatadza kuvandudza, kupa uye kudiwa zvakakosha hazvina kusimba, zvichikonzera kuti musika uenderere mberi nekudzikira kwemitengo.
-US West mitengo yakawira ku3,484 / FEU kubva kumadhora mazana matatu nemakumi mapfumbamwe nemashanu svondo rapfuura, kudonha kwevhiki nevhiki kwe475 kana 12.0%, nemitengo yeUS West inosvika pakaderera kubva Nyamavhuvhu 2020.
-US East mitengo yakaderera kusvika ku $ 7,767 / FEU kubva ku $ 8,318 vhiki yapfuura, pasi pe $ 551, kana 6.6 muzana, pavhiki.
Zvikonzero
Munguva yedenda, cheni dzekugovera dzakakanganiswa uye zvimwe zvekushandisa zvakagurwa mune dzimwe nyika, zvichikonzera "hoarding wave" munyika dzakawanda, izvo zvakakonzera kukwira kusingaite gore rapfuura.
Gore rino, inflation yehupfumi hwepasi rose uye kuderera kwekuda kwaita kuti zvitadze kugaya masheya anga akachengetwa mumusika, zvichikonzera vatengesi kuEurope neUnited States kudzikisa kana kutombodzima maodha ezvigadzirwa, uye "kushomeka kwemaodha" kuri kupararira pasirese.
Ding Chun, purofesa paInstitute of World Economics, School of Economics, Fudan University: “Kuderera uku kuri kunyanya kukonzerwa nekukwira kwemitengo kwakakwira muEurope neUnited States, zvichikonzerwa nekunetsana kwezvematongerwo enyika, matambudziko emagetsi uye denda, izvo zvakonzera kuderera kukuru mukudiwa kwekutakura zvinhu.
Kang Shuchun, CEO weChina International Shipping Network: "Kusaenzana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa kwakonzera kudzikira kwemitengo yekutumira."
Impact
Kumakambani ekutumira:vakatarisana nedzvinyiriro ye "kutaurirana" mitengo yekondirakiti, uye vakati vakagamuchira zvikumbiro kubva kuvaridzi vemitoro kuti vaderedze mitengo yekondirakiti.
Kumabhizinesi epamba:Xu Kai, mukuru wezveruzivo weShanghai International Shipping Research Center, akaudza Global Times kuti aitenda kuti mitengo yekufambisa yakakwira zvisingaite gore rapfuura yaive isiri yenguva dzose, ukuwo kudonha kwakanyanya gore rino kwakatonyanya kusajairika, uye kunofanirwa kunge kuri kuita kwemakambani anotakura zvinhu pakuchinja kwemusika. Kuti uchengetedze mitengo yekutakura mitoro ye liner, makambani ekutakura zvinhu ari kuyedza kushandisa mitengo yekutakura senzira yekutsvaga kudiwa. Chakakosha chekudzikira kwekuda kwekufambisa kwemusika kuri kudzikira kudiwa kwekutengeserana, uye zano rekushandisa kuderedzwa kwemitengo haringaunze chero hutsva hutsva, asi huchatungamira kumakwikwi akashata uye kusagadzikana mumusika wemugungwa.
Zvekutumira:Nhamba huru yezvikepe zvitsva zvakatangwa nehofori dzekutakura dzakawedzera mukaha uripo pakati pekupa uye kudiwa. Kang Shuchun akataura kuti gore rapfuura mitengo yekutakura zvinhu yakakwira zvisingaite yakaita kuti makambani akawanda ekutakura zvinhu awane mari yakawanda, uye mamwe makambani makuru ekutakura akaisa purofiti yavo mukuvaka ngarava, nepo denda risati rasvika, kutakura kwepasirese kwakatokwira kupfuura huwandu. The Wall Street Journal yakataura mashoko aBraemar, mukuru wesimba nekutakura zvinhu, achiti nhevedzano yengarava itsva ichatangwa mumakore maviri anotevera uye kuti chiyero chekukura kwezvikepe chinotarisirwa kudarika 9 muzana gore rinouya uye muna 2024, nepo kukura kwegore-pagore kwehuwandu hwekutakura zvinhu huchashanduka husina kunaka muna 2023, izvo zvichawedzera kusaenzana kwepasirese.
Mhedziso
Hunhu hwehusimbe hwekutakurwa kwemusika kudiwa kuri kudzikira kudiwa kwekutengesa, kushandisa zano rekudzikisa mutengo hakuzounze chero hutsva hunodiwa, asi huchatungamira kumakwikwi akashata uye kukanganisa kurongeka kwemusika wemugungwa.
Asi hondo dzemitengo haisi mhinduro yakagadzikana chero nguva. Mitemo yekuchinja kwemitengo uye mitemo yekutevedzwa kwemusika haigone kubatsira makambani kuchengetedza budiriro yavo uye kuwana chigarire mumusika; nzira chete yakakosha yekushingirira mumusika kutsvaga nzira dzekuchengetedza nekuvandudza masevhisi uye kuwedzera kugona kwavo kwebhizinesi.
Nguva yekutumira: Sep-22-2022
